Model outcome | Current situation (2014) | Scenario 1 (2030) | Scenario 2 (2030) | Scenario 3 (2030) | Scenario 4 (2030) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Incremental QALYs per person (2.5%;97.5% percentiles) | 0.0045 (−0.0010;0.0130) | 0.0048 (−0.0007;0.0144) | 0.0045 (−0.0015;0.0136) | 0.0046 (−0.0009;0.0137) | 0.0047 (− 0.0009;0.0135) |
Incremental costs per person (2.5%;97.5% percentiles) | -€345 (−€989; €76) | -€364 (−€994; €42) | -€373 (−€993; €116) | -€315 (−€893; €61) | -€430 (−€1150; €68) |
Probability new care is more effective | 93.6% | 95.0% | 93.0% | 93.9% | 93.8% |
Probability new care is less costly | 93.7% | 94.8% | 92.3% | 94.0% | 94.6% |
Probability new care is dominanta | 92.7% | 93.7% | 91.4% | 92.8% | 93.1% |
Probability new care is cost-effective at €20,000/ QALY threshold | 93.8% | 95.0% | 92.4% | 94.4% | 94.4% |