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Table 4 Population Attributable Fractions (PAFs) and the change in the absolute numbers of chronic health conditions detected per year in a scenario in which all medical consultations were performed by Family Physicians. Rio de Janeiro, 2013- 2018

From: Detection and follow-up of chronic health conditions in Rio de Janeiro – the impact of residency training in family medicine

Condition

Population attributable fraction

Cases per year

Number of cases added or subtracted

Hypertension - ICD10

-11.2 (-9.8; -12.7)

15901

-1781 (-1558; -2019)

Hypertension - clinical criteria

9.5 (8.3; 10.7)

11681

1110 (970; 1250)

Diabetes Mellitus - ICD10

-13.5 (-11.2; -15)

5562

-751 (-623; -834)

Diabetes Mellitus - clinical criteria

4.5 (2.6; 7)

4089

184 (106; 286)

Hypothyroidism - ICD10a

-2 (-6.2; 2.6)

755

-15 (-47; 20)

Hypothyroidism - clinical criteria

28.9 (15.3; 42.7)

79

23 (12; 34)

AIDS

11.9 (5.8; 17.6)

415

49 (24; 73)

Drug addiction

49 (40.2; 57.5)

197

97 (79; 113)

Alcohol abuse

38.5 (30.4; 46.3)

237

91 (72; 110)

Depression

11.9 (8.9; 15.9)

1119

133 (100; 178)

Psychosis

12.4 (7; 18.1)

466

58 (33; 84)

Cardiac arrhythmias

18.7 (11.9; 26)

412

77 (49; 107)

Peripheral artery disease

63.6 (51.6; 75)

114

73 (59; 86)

Ischemic heart disease

22.4 (16.4; 28)

499

112 (82; 140)

Heart failure

37.2 (31.3; 43.1)

482

179 (151; 208)

Kidney failure

42.7 (35; 50.5)

270

115 (94; 136)

Osteoarthritis

7 (4.5; 9.5)

3800

266 (171; 361)

Rheumatic disordersa

0 (-5.5; 6.4)

503

0 (-28; 32)

Neurological disorders

17.6 (14.8; 20.3)

2092

368 (310; 425)

Epilepsy

-9.8 (-4.1; -15)

579

-57 (-24; -87)

Stroke

25.5 (20.3; 30.8)

586

149 (119; 180)

Dementia

17 (10.1; 24.5)

310

53 (31; 76)

COPD

7 (1.3; 13)

532

37 (7; 69)

Asthma

17 (13; 21.3)

782

133 (102; 167)

Chronic hepatitis

18.7 (6.4; 31.8)

84

16 (5; 27)

Cirrhosis of the livera

2 (-6.9; 11.3)

212

4 (-15; 24)

Cancer

15.9 (10.7; 21.3)

627

100 (67; 134)

Neoplasia - Mena

7 (-5.5; 19.7)

92

6 (-5; 18)

Neoplasia - Women

20.3 (7; 34.1)

81

16 (6; 28)

Breast cancer

24.5 (13; 36.3)

122

30 (16; 44)

Metastatic cancera

27 (-2.7; 58.8)

16

4 (0; 9)

  1. a: Non-statistically significant in the multilevel multivariate binomial models