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Table 3 Segmented linear regression results examining impact of transition from tFFS to eFFS on UPC index

From: The impact of the adoption of a patient rostering model on primary care access and continuity of care in urban family practices in Ontario, Canada

Parameter

Unadjusted Model

Adjusted Model

Estimate

95% CI

P-Value

Estimate

95% CI

P-Value

Intercept (baseline UPC)

75.9

75.5 to 76.3

< 0.0001

57.2

56.3 to 58.1

< 0.0001

Pre-intervention slope (secular trend, per year)

0.35

0.30 to 0.41

< 0.0001

−0.27

− 0.34 to − 0.21

< 0.0001

Change in intercept (immediate impact)

0.42

0.45 to 0.58

< 0.0001

0.39

0.23 to 0.55

< 0.0001

Change in slope (gradual effect, per year)

−0.72

− 0.82 to − 0.61

< 0.0001

− 0.59

−0.69 to − 0.49

< 0.0001

Female physician

−1.05

  

−1.05

−1.80 to − 0.29

0.007

Physician panel size

  < 500

   

0

  

 500–999

   

4.10

3.97 to 4.23

< 0.0001

 1000–1999

   

6.83

6.68 to 7.37

< 0.0001

 2000–2999

   

7.52

7.37 to 7.67

< 0.0001

  > 3000

   

8.16

7.99 to 8.34

< 0.0001

Foreign Trained

   

−2.59

−3.47 to −1.70

< 0.0001

Years since graduation

   

0.43

0.39 to 0.47

< 0.0001

Patient age

   

0.30

0.30 to 0.30

< 0.0001

Female patient

   

−0.96

−0.97 to − 0.94

< 0.0001

Adjusted Clinical Group (ACG)b

 0

   

0

  

 1–4

   

−2.60

−2.66 to − 2.55

< 0.0001

 5–9

   

−6.10

−6.16 to −6.05

< 0.0001

 10+

   

−9.18

−9.24 to −9.12

< 0.0001

Income Quintilea

 1

   

0

  

 2

   

−0.002

−0.021 to 0.018

0.88

 3

   

−0.29

−0.31 to − 0.27

< 0.0001

 4

   

− 0.36

− 0.38 to − 0.34

< 0.0001

 5

   

− 0.37

− 0.39 to − 0.35

< 0.0001

Patient rurality

 Urban

   

0

  

 Suburban

   

− 0.26

− 0.29 to − 0.23

< 0.0001

 Rural

   

−1.41

−1.48 to −1.35

< 0.0001

  1. aincome quintile represents the rank of the patient’s total household income based on the aggregate census data derived from postal code. The first quintile represents the highest incomes
  2. bAdjusted Clinical Groups (ACG) quantifies morbidity by grouping patients based on age and gender and all medical diagnoses in a given year. Those in group three represent represents those with the greatest morbidity