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Table 3 Variables / assumptions and their influence on estimated losses / gains to the profession of FPs in 2006–2015

From: The future prospects of Lithuanian family physicians: a 10-year forecasting study

Variable

Assumption

Estimated losses from profession during 2006–2015

Estimated gains to profession during 2006–2015

Annual mortality rate

0.47%

88

-

Annual retirement rate

At the age 71 years

40

-

 

At the age of 66 years

110

-

Annual migration rate

0.6%

116

-

 

1.1%

207

-

 

2.2%

381

-

Enrolment in residency programs

Decreased by 20%

-

444

 

At the level of 2004

-

503

 

Increased by 20%

-

569

Drop out rate during residency

1%

5

-

 

1.5%

6

-

 

2%

6

-