Table 2 Supply projection scenarios and assumptions
From: The future prospects of Lithuanian family physicians: a 10-year forecasting study
Variables | First scenario | Second scenario | Third scenario |
|---|---|---|---|
Duration of residency studies | 3 years | 3 years | 3 years |
Population projections | Optimistic | Medium | Pessimistic |
Annual mortality rate | 0.47% | 0.47% | 0.47% |
Annual retirement rate | At the age of 71 years | At the age of 71 years | At the age of 66 years |
Annual migration rate | Optimistic rate | Medium rate | Pessimistic rate |
Enrolment in residency studies | Increased by 20% (46) | At the level of 2004 (38) | Decreased by 20% (30) |
Drop out rate during residency | 1% | 1.5% | 2% |