| Prediction for Stable return-to-work | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 months | 12 months | 18 months | 24 months | ||||||||
 | OR | p | 95%CI | OR | p | 95%CI | OR | p | 95%CI | OR | p | 95%CI |
Young age | - | - | - | 2.8 | .02 | 1.2-6.5 | 3.5 | .001 | 1.3-9.1 | 2.7 | .02 | 1.2-6.2 |
Non-low education | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3.0 | .04 | 1.1-8.2 | 2.9 | .02 | 1.2-6.9 |
Subacute NSP | 3.2 | .02 | 1.3-8.2 | - | - | - | 3.0 | .04 | 1.1-8.4 | - | - | - |
Low total prior sick-listing | - | - | - | 2.7 | .02 | 1.2-6.4 | 4.8 | .001 | 1.9-12.3 | 3.8 | .002 | 1.6-8.7 |
Back-pain domination | 9.5 | .004 | 2.0-44.4 | 2.9 | .04 | 1.1-7.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Non-catastrophizing | - | - | - | - | - | Â | 3.4 | .01 | 1.3-9.1 | - | - | - |
High self prediction | 4.1 | .02 | 1.1-15.7 | 5.2 | .009 | 1.5-17.5 | - | - | - | 2.7 | .06 | .9-7.8 |
   Goodness-of-fit: | ||||||||||||
Hosmer-Lemeshow | .70 | .38 | .29 | .67 | ||||||||
Correctly classified (%) | 78.2 | 71.5 | 73.0 | 73.8 | ||||||||
Area under ROC | .79 | .79 | .85 | .79 |